Why We Say Yes When We'd Rather Say No!!- Hemant Kale
Friday, 14 September 2012
As a coach when I look
back on trades of my students, most of the losses are caused by fear of missing
out. You may have traded for any length of time; the fear of missing out is
something we've all experienced. Fear of missing out causes us to chase stocks,
trade heavier than we should and maybe even trade scenarios that aren't part of
our game plan.
This phenomenon often
occurs after a sharp price rise. Portfolio managers are often measured on
relative basis either against the indices or against a universe of their peers.
If they are underinvested as a sharp rally begins, the perception of missing
out on the price move and of subsequent underperformance is so great that the
fear of missing the boat forces them to get in.
This form of fear also
affects individual traders. A trader may be left out of a move for some reason
maybe because he is waiting for lower prices or he may be clouded by some bad
news. Regardless of the reason the “left out bull” suddenly feels compelled to
get back into the market. The strong belief of continuation of move coupled
with the toxicity of seeing the prices explode results in the feeling of being
left out.
When you find yourself
in this kind of a situation it will always be wise to stand aside. Remember
there is always another train. What I mean here that even if you miss the
current opportunity, however wonderful it may appear, patience and discipline
will always reward you with another. Look for the next train.
So how do we deal with
the fear of missing out? What works for me is to simply follow a trading
methodology and have the discipline to stay with it. Another way to avoid the
fear of missing out is to condition your mind into believing that it is more
painful to lose money than it is to miss out on a trade that is not part of
your game plan. This kind of thinking has been the biggest help for me and could
be of help to you too. None of us wants to lose money.
The next time you get
the urge to chase a stock, or enter a trade because your connect said it will
make a lot of money or you felt left out, you should take a deep breath and
remind yourself how hard it is to build your account. Remind yourself how
dreadful you're going to feel if you were to lose on this trade which most
likely will be the end result.
If you do this often
enough, the fear of losing money will become greater than the fear of missing
out and once that happens, you've used fear in a positive way to help your
trading.
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